I am neither a fortune teller nor do I
have the past experience to tell
much about what could happen in
the
future
of music
business and music
culture. However, this section shall function as a
prediction of the
future by looking at some of the results my articles have come to. I
will
wrap up the ideas developed
within this magazine and provide you
with a
fade out to the
topic looking at the paradigm shift and its
implications in terms of music distribution, artists contracts and
patterns of the music industry.
Due to the paradigm shift relating to the physical
distribution of
music, CDs and records will become collectibles (Ted Cohen in
Röttgers, 2003). The Internet as a means of music distribution
is one factor that has led to music becoming
a service rather than a
physical good. Not only that the mp3-file is not a
physical item, it
has r

ather become a means of
advertisement for the artists’
other activities. As
Moritz
Sauer states in his
interview
the
distribution of free music online will function as
a 'display
window' for the other items offered by the music industry.
Those are mainly concerts, which are intangible and hence belong to the
service-sector. The advice is given to completely move away from
viewing music as a consumer good and it is instead recommended to
create music as an event (Hubert Gertis in Röttgers, 2003).
For the artists this will imply a further dragging into the direction
of
360-degree deals,
or a new approach to
selling
themselves and their
music depending on their connection to the record labels.
The
structure of the
music business will also change due to the
abovementioned paradigm shift. The beginning of those new patterns has
already become recognizable with the domination of the
Big
Four labels.
It is predicted that there will increasingly exist such
media-conglomerates
that are responsible for everything connected to
music especially in terms of the acquiring and marketing of artists
(Tim O’Reilly in Röttgers, 2003). The Big Four will
be mainly involved in this, but there will also be new players, which
the change of Madonna to the concert agency Live Nation proves.
However, it will not just be the big companies that profit, but also a
few smaller ones in the
independent
sector will play a part. As shown
in my last article the
A&R
people will gain a new role in the
music sector. As
Marten
Schulp mentions the
“gatekeepers” in the music industry will always
have a say next to their opponents. However, they will have to pay
attention to the demands of the
consumers uttered online. They will become
increasingly connected to
the audience.
Those are just a few of the trends that I discovered and that are
agreed on by the experts of the field. Most of them are already taking
place and are hence not so much a prediction rather than an observation
of the contemporary music business and culture. Eventually nobody knows
for sure how everything will develop. As mentioned above, we are all
not fortune tellers and the future remains difficult to predict.
However, one thing is for sure:
Luckily, there is no need to worry
about the existence of music as such!
All content © 2008 Kathrin
Weinen